Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.432269 0.471480 0.514212 0.564523 0.622501 0.687670 0.767104
2025-01-19 0.352756 0.407122 0.471751 0.555611 0.663664 0.801356 0.995628
2025-01-26 0.313195 0.377576 0.459574 0.575019 0.739391 0.975789 1.365195
2025-02-02 0.291816 0.364876 0.463587 0.613136 0.847305 1.228514 1.976760
2025-02-09 0.266175 0.341543 0.447813 0.617939 0.905129 1.424312 2.625039
2025-02-16 0.241258 0.315380 0.423195 0.603082 0.925094 1.559792 3.262532
2025-02-23 0.224320 0.298366 0.409274 0.601872 0.967465 1.756733 4.270748
2025-03-02 0.207791 0.280044 0.390729 0.589060 0.983822 1.904517 5.348277
2025-03-09 0.193478 0.263650 0.373212 0.574897 0.993505 2.041876 6.656453
2025-03-16 0.181438 0.249686 0.358077 0.562565 1.003886 2.188210 8.394041
2025-03-23 0.175645 0.244962 0.357652 0.577650 1.079732 2.574762 13.162151
2025-03-30 0.167518 0.235812 0.348675 0.574468 1.111396 2.844464 19.026524
2025-04-06 0.156323 0.221343 0.329915 0.550546 1.089442 2.926558 24.220762
2025-04-13 0.145781 0.207460 0.311378 0.525454 1.060893 2.979566 30.804071
2025-04-20 0.141360 0.203452 0.310205 0.537087 1.136913 3.566438 75.561334
2025-04-27 0.139838 0.204171 0.317681 0.568982 1.285431 4.766155 1009.487540
2025-05-04 0.134934 0.198699 0.312968 0.572350 1.348036 5.622334 NaN
2025-05-11 0.128554 0.190241 0.301790 0.558750 1.349615 6.072641 NaN
2025-05-18 0.124046 0.184806 0.296047 0.557546 1.395645 7.038819 NaN
2025-05-25 0.118833 0.177817 0.286683 0.546059 1.400375 7.668744 NaN
2025-06-01 0.113891 0.171060 0.277305 0.533379 1.397177 8.253709 NaN
2025-06-08 0.109464 0.165011 0.268947 0.522334 1.397758 8.945024 NaN
2025-06-15 0.107655 0.163609 0.269907 0.535834 1.506835 11.809284 NaN